Trade Price. Ignore Noise. Sleep Like a Baby.

Systematic trend following built for calm, rules-based execution.

What NovaTrend Does (Without the Noise)

NovaTrend is automated trend-following software for Bitcoin, built around one principle:

Today's price is the only truth in trading.

Everything else—news, forecasts, hype, fear—is noise.

The software is designed for traders who want a disciplined, rules-based way to participate in Bitcoin markets: no predictions about tomorrow's price, no "signals" from gurus, no chasing narratives about why markets "should" move—just systematic response to what price is actually doing.

If you've ever felt pulled between headlines and gut feeling, NovaTrend is the opposite of that experience.

Why I Built NovaTrend

In December 2017, I made my first Bitcoin investment. A few weeks later, I had lost half of it.

I was shocked and disappointed. I realized that other people now had my money—and that they clearly understood this game better than I did. I had to make a choice: either I would learn what they knew, or I would stop.

I chose to learn.

I started an exploration across many forms of trading: stocks, precious metals, cryptocurrencies, copy trading, and various automated trading bots. I took courses, followed experts, and subscribed to newsletters from gurus who spoke with great confidence and authority—but consistently failed to deliver in practice.

The losses were painful, but what hurt even more was the gradual erosion of trust. Many of the people who sounded the most certain turned out to perform poorly when their ideas were actually implemented. One particularly expensive crypto investment platform, run by a well-known analyst, lost more than 40% in just a few months—and even years later, it has still not recovered to breakeven.

How confidently certainty is sold in a world that doesn't have it...

Eventually, I discovered the book The Turtle Traders . For the first time, I encountered an approach that was fundamentally different: trend following. This wasn't about news, opinions, or forecasts—it was about a predefined set of rules. The only thing that mattered was the price of the day, and what the rules dictated in response to it.

Not prediction. Reaction. Not being right. Being disciplined.

Rens - Founder of NovaTrend

Rens, Founder & Architect

From Forecasting to Trend Following

At the same time, I was deeply engaged in mindfulness practice: daily meditation, silent retreats, and learning to observe emotions and thoughts without acting on them.

I began to see a strong overlap with trend following: both require letting go of stories about what "should" happen and simply responding to what is. In markets, today's price is the only truth. Everything else—past events, narratives, and predictions—is noise.

Trend following removes interpretation entirely:

  • No forecasts
  • No opinions
  • No narratives
  • Just responding to what price is doing now

This shift transformed how I trade: I stopped trying to predict tomorrow and started responding to today.

The Birth of the NovaTrend Algorithm

I searched for a trend-following system specifically designed for Bitcoin, but it didn't exist.

The platforms I found were either for traditional stock markets, using sub-optimal trading methods or trading in USDt instead of BTC.

Eventually, I decided to build my own.

After hundreds of hours studying price charts, identifying patterns, and working through spreadsheets, the first version of the NovaTrend algorithm was born. I traded it manually for several years with success and learned: having an algorithm and executing it is something entirely different.

Why Manual Execution Is Hard

Even with a solid, meticulously tested trend-following strategy, trading manually was exhausting.

I woke up to computer alarms in the middle of the night for many months. I had to make decisions when I was tired. And despite knowing the rules, in such circumstances it's very hard to follow them precisely—because humans interpret, and emotions creep in under pressure.

After a while, trading manually was no longer sustainable, both technically and mentally. Automation became inevitable.

Building the Automated Solution

In 2023, I had the opportunity to automate the system. I spent roughly six months developing and meticulously testing—running simulations, validating edge cases, and ensuring live behavior matched the rules exactly.

I ran it with my own capital with good results. And only when I was certain everything ran smoothly and securely, I opened the software for others.

Today, NovaTrend has been running live for almost two and a half years, executing hundreds of trades, navigating multiple market crashes and rallies without breaking discipline.

63%
Annual returns since 2020
12%
Maximum drawdown
100s
Trades executed flawlessly

No emotions. No second-guessing. No human error. Just a well-defined set of rules executed precisely.

And for the first time in years, I could sleep well again...

The Principles NovaTrend Is Built On

After years of learning the hard way, I built NovaTrend on what actually works:

Rules, not opinions — No discretion, no "I think Bitcoin will..."

Discipline, not emotion — The software doesn't suffer from human emotions such as fear and greed and never gets tired.

Process, not promises — The algorithm follows the classical trend following approach of letting winners run and cutting losses quickly. That includes a relatively low winrate, by design. Small, controlled losses function as insurance premiums, keeping the strategy positioned for large winners.

Longevity, not excitement — Patience, discipline, and longevity outperform excitement. Strong long-term returns are achieved by surviving unfavorable periods and being positioned for the next durable trend. Some might find this boring and that's exactly the way it's supposed to be.

NovaTrend is the product I wish existed when I started: a transparent, rules-driven system with serious attention to risk.

Since 2020, the algorithm has compounded at 63% annually with a maximum drawdown of just 12%—across bull markets, bear markets, and the trendless conditions of 2025.

If You're Looking for a Calmer Way to Trade

NovaTrend isn't for everyone. If you need to "feel in control" of every trade, or you're looking for 10x gains in 10 days, this isn't the right fit.

But if you value systematic discipline over gut feelings—if this approach resonates—then NovaTrend may be a good fit.

You don't need to predict the next move. You just need to respond to the current one.

NovaTrend: All the lessons, none of the losses.